2024-12-13 05:55:35
The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Suzhou International Development Group increased its capital to 22 billion yuan, with an increase of 120%. According to Tianyancha App, Suzhou International Development Group Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes recently, and its registered capital has increased from 10 billion yuan to 22 billion yuan, with an increase of 120%. Suzhou International Development Group Co., Ltd. was established in August 1995, and its legal representative is Zhang Tao. Its business scope covers the operation and management of state-owned assets within the scope of authorization, domestic commerce and material supply and marketing, and provides various consulting services, and it is wholly owned by Suzhou Municipal Finance Bureau.China Merchants Securities: Hisense's household appliances are obviously underestimated, and the safety cushion is thick, and it is rated as "strongly recommended". China Merchants Securities Research Report pointed out that the growth rate of Hisense's household appliances (000921.SZ) slowed down, showing the first year-on-year decline in nine quarters since 22Q3, and the market confidence was weak. The company is obviously underestimated, and the safety mat is thick. Looking horizontally, in 2025, the valuations of Hisense, Midea and Haier will be 10/13/13 times; Historically, the company's share price has been deeply adjusted since May this year, and the current valuation is at a lower level since the 22-year reform. Referring to the global valuation system, the steady-state PE hub of johnson controls/Carrier/Trane is 30/25/20 times, which is higher than the valuation of white power enterprises represented by Whirlpool and Electrolux. Hisense household appliances, as the standard of A-share central air conditioning, should enjoy a higher valuation than white power companies. The improvement of the company's bottom management promotes efficiency and cost reduction+the global operation competitiveness is constantly strengthened+the company's leading position is stable under the background of domestic substitution of central air conditioning, and it continues to be firmly optimistic about the company. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by +8%, +9% and +10% from 2024 to 2026, and its performance will increase by +15%, +14% and +16% respectively. Give a "strongly recommended" rating.
Market information: The major shareholders of Hershey, an American chocolate manufacturer, will reject the takeover proposal of Yizi International, thinking that the other party's offer is too low.The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.
Anhui's first high-growth industrial bond was successfully issued in Shanghai. Recently, Anhui Wantong Expressway Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Wantong Expressway") completed the issuance of Anhui's first high-growth industrial bond in Shanghai Stock Exchange. On October 30th this year, Wan Tong Expressway was approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission to publicly issue corporate bonds with a registered scale of no more than 5 billion yuan to professional investors.Guangxi: In November, 23,774 cases of legal infectious diseases were reported and 320 people died. The Health and Health Commission of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region announced the epidemic situation of legal infectious diseases in Guangxi in November 2024. No cases of Class A infectious diseases were reported. 14,775 cases of Class B infectious diseases were reported, with 320 deaths. The reported diseases include AIDS, viral hepatitis, rabies, dengue fever, dysentery, tuberculosis, typhoid plus paratyphoid, whooping cough, scarlet fever, brucellosis, gonorrhea, syphilis, leptospirosis, malaria, novel coronavirus infection and monkeypox. The top five reported cases were viral hepatitis, tuberculosis, syphilis, AIDS and gonorrhea, accounting for 94.34% in total. 8999 cases of Class C infectious diseases were reported, with no death. The reported diseases include influenza, mumps, rubella, acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis, leprosy, typhus, other infectious diarrhea and hand, foot and mouth disease. The top three reported cases were other infectious diarrhea, hand-foot-mouth disease and influenza, accounting for 91.43% in total.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide